六四前後，我訪問了西歐幾個國家。我看到那裡的中國人、外國人對中國民主的關注並沒有退潮，不像某些人預測的那樣糟糕。很多朋友認為這是國內形勢的發展讓人們重新燃起了希望之火。的確，國內形勢的發展常常出人意料之外。近期內工潮突起，就是人們多年期待而又漸漸失去信心的一例。
在中共強大的專政機器壓迫下，工會運動幾十年都沒有發展起來。原因有好幾個。首先是工賊式的共產黨工會的存在，成為監視和破壞工會運動的主要力量。工會的官員都拿政府的薪水 。在勞資雙方發生矛盾時，習慣性地幫助官方和資方說話，很少站在工人的立場上說話。這次工潮中有些工會官員和罷工的工人對立，甚至動起手來。就是這種本質的反映。
其次就是，中共執政後就暴露出它的反人民的本質。幾十年來它一直就把工人爭取權益的鬥爭當作政治犯罪，給予嚴厲的鎮壓。六十年來，有無數自發的工人組織被加上反革命等罪名加以鎮壓。他們的領袖或進監獄；或被以各種方式加以迫害。沒有領袖的工人組織很快就散夥了。
還有很多原因，但上邊兩項是最主要的原因。中共的專制統治加上工賊的破壞，使得中國工人無法組織起來維護自身的權益。而這正是港台和各國資本家可以在中國找到廉價勞動力的主要原因。
因為有了價廉物美的勞動力，外資企業才有了超額的剩餘價值可賺。因為有了超額利潤可賺，全世界資產階級才會聯合起來，捍衛中共專制制度的存在。就像大魚吃小魚；小魚吃蝦米一樣，形成了牢不可破的食物鏈。
二十多年來，中國的民主運動伴隨著工人運動，此起彼伏，奮鬥不息。但是受到了中共和他們的西方盟友的聯合鎮壓，一直難以振奮，難以堅持。被人們譏諷為「不成氣候」。根本原因就是這個國際聯盟的存在。
這個聯盟迫使西方多數政客屈服於中共的意志，保護大資本的利益。甚至西方的工會也受到大企業的滲透，不敢關心中國的工人運動。這是中國的工會運動長期以來處於低迷狀態的另一個重要的原因。
但是，被壓抑得太狠的中國工人，必然會尋找突破口，開展工會運動來謀求自身的權益。最近起源於廣東富士康工廠的工潮能夠迅速蔓延到全國，證明了中國工人需要自己的工會，並且迫切需要組織起來維護自身的權益。年輕一代工人領袖的出現，給中國社會帶來了一次機會。這一波以加薪為主要訴求的工潮，不但可以形成工人維權的團體；而且可以緩解國內正在發生的經濟危機。從這兩方面來說，都是中國社會的希望。
現在很多人都注意到了國內迅猛發展的通貨膨脹，但是沒有注意到這個通貨膨脹和畸形的產業結構之間的關係。簡單些說，就是受薪階級的工資只占生產總值的一小部分；大部分產出的價值成為中外資本家的利潤。這些利潤大部分投向擴大生產能力和金融、房地產市場。當全球經濟不景氣時，主要依靠國際市場的畸形經濟必然陷入困境，再加上國內政局不穩，大量資金兌換成外匯外逃。這些都必然導致國內市場貨幣過剩。這就是通貨膨脹的根本原因。
解決這個問題的方法只有兩個，沒有第三個。
第一就是提高人民幣的匯率，並且取消各種非關稅壁壘。使得貨幣流出的同時，增加商品流入。恢復國內市場的平衡；吸收過量的流通貨幣。但這個方法必須伴隨著第二：提高受薪階級的實際收入 ，迅速擴大國內消費市場。以免出現生產萎縮的多米諾骨牌效應。
這兩項措施雙管齊下的結果，必然會壓縮中外企業的超額利潤。也只有當平均利潤率下降到合理水平時，中國的經濟才會穩定下來。否則，這些年來的大起大落必然會加大幅度，最終導致經濟崩潰。
為什麼中共統治集團採取了各種措施，但是就是不採取這兩項簡單有效的措施呢？關鍵就在超額利潤上。超額利潤不但養肥了貪官污吏；而且腐化了西方政治。這是中共政權生存的命根子。如果這一波工潮不能迫使中共恢復正常的經濟結構，那麼只有等到中國社會崩潰，才能夠重新收拾舊山河了。
恐怕這是中[共]國崩潰之前的最後機會了。
The Way Out for China (Part XII) - Workers' Movement
-- by Wei Jingsheng
Around the June 4 anniversary this year, I visited several Western European countries. I noticed that both the Chinese and non-Chinese there have not reduced their interest in democracy in China. It really was not as bad as some people have predicted. Many friends said that it is partially because the ongoing situation in China has lit the fire of hope again. Indeed, the development inside China could be far from the expectations of many. The recent rising of the tide of workers' movements in China is one of the examples that people have been waiting for years, yet were gradually losing their confidence in.
Under the suppression of the powerful dictatorial machine of the Chinese Communist Party, for decades now the workers movement in China could not be developed. There are several reasons. The first is due to the existence of official "labor unions" under the Communist Party. These organizations act as scabs for the Communist government. The officials of these so-called "labor unions" are paid by the government and have become the main force in charge of monitoring and destroying the true labor movement. When there is conflict between labor and the capital management, these so-called "labor unions" habitually will speak in favor of the government and the capital side. They barely stand on the side of the workers. During the recent workers' movements, there are some so-called "labor-union" officials who opposed the workers, and even physically had fights with the Honda workers. These examples are a true reflection of the nature of the "official" side.
The second reason that labor organization became difficult is that after the Chinese Communist Party took over power it exposed its true nature of opposing the people. For decades now, the Communist government has treated the workers' struggle for their rights as a political crime and has given severe suppression. In the past sixty some years, there have been numerous spontaneous workers' organizations that were suppressed with the criminal charges of being "anti-revolutionary". Their leaders were either sent to jail or were persecuted in other ways. The workers' organizations without leadership were soon dissolved.
There are many other reasons as well, but the above two are the most important. The Communist dictatorial rule and the wreck by these scabs has had the result that the Chinese workers could not be organized to defend their own rights. This is exactly the main reason why the capitalists from Taiwan, Hong Kong, and the other nations could find cheap labor in China.
Because these laborers who produce good products, the foreign invested businesses could receive excessive surplus value. To keep this excessive profit, all the capitalists in the world united together in an effort to defend the existence of the dictatorial system of the Chinese Communist Party. This system is an unbreakable food chain: big fish feeding on small fish; small fish feeding on shrimps.
For more than 20 years now, accompanied by the workers' movements, the Chinese democratic movements have been rising one after another and striven incessantly. However, they are suppressed by the united power of the Chinese Communist Party and its Western allies. Both labor and democracy movements are hard to stimulate and persist, and thus are teased by the others as "could not work". The root cause of ineffectiveness is the existence of this international alliance.
This alliance has forced the majority of Western politicians to surrender themselves to the will of the Communist Party, to protect the interests of big business. Even the labor organizations in the West are infiltrated by big business and are not concerned with workers movements in China. This lack of support is another main reason why the Chinese labor movement has been in a depressed status for a long time.
However, Chinese workers who are suppressed too hard will naturally have a breaking point, to develop workers movements in seeking their own rights and interests. Recently, the workers movement starting in the FoxConn factories in GuangDong spread rapidly all over China, proving that the Chinese workers need their own unions, and urgently need to be organized to defend their own rights and interests. The emergence of leaders for the younger generation of workers has brought a chance for the Chinese society. The wave of workers' movements, with its main desire of seeking pay raises now, will not only form rights-defending organizations but also mitigate the ongoing economic crisis happening inside China. Both of these aspects are the hope for the Chinese society now.
Many people have noticed the rapid inflation in China, without paying attention to the relationship between this inflation and the deformed industrial structure in China. Simply, the cost of labor is only a tiny portion of the total output value, while most of the produced value has become the profit of Chinese and foreign capitalists. The majority of this profit went to investment in expanding production capacity, the financial sector, and the real estate market. With the global economy in recession, much of these funds were exchanged into foreign currency and fled abroad. The natural result is the oversupply of currency in China. This is the root cause of the inflation.
To solve this problem there are only two methods, without a third.
The first is to raise the exchange rate of the Chinese currency, RenMinBi, and to abolish all sorts of non-tariff import barriers, in an effort to allow foreign products flow into the Chinese market while the currency flow out, in an effort to resume the balance of the Chinese market and to absorb the oversupplied active money. This method must be accompanied by the second method, which is to raise the real income of the wage and salary earners, so as to rapidly expand the consumer market inside China in an effort to avoid the domino effect of a shrinking manufacturing.
When we try to apply these two methods, it will naturally reduce the excessive profit of both Chinese and foreign businesses. However, only when the average profit has been reduced to a reasonable level, the Chinese economy could be stabilized. Otherwise, the big rise and fall of these years will naturally amplify and ultimately cause the collapse of the economy.
Why has the Chinese Communist ruling clique taken all sorts of measures, except these two simple and effective ones? The key is due to the excessive profit. These profits have not only fattened these corrupted Chinese officials, but also corrupted Western politics. This profit is the lifeblood for the very survival of the Communist rule. If this wave of workers' movements cannot force the Communist Party to resume a normal economic structure, then only when the Chinese society has collapsed will we have an opportunity to put it back in order.
I am afraid that this is the last opportunity before the collapse in China.
